Mosaic Valuation

MOS Stock  USD 29.80  0.03  0.10%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Mosaic secures a last-minute Real Value of $30.42 per share. The latest price of the firm is $29.8. Our model forecasts the value of Mosaic from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.1, return on asset of 0.0286, and Current Valuation of 14.53 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Mosaic's valuation include:
Price Book
0.7734
Enterprise Value
14.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
4.8967
Price Sales
0.831
Forward PE
13.3333
Fairly Valued
Today
29.80
Please note that Mosaic's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Mosaic is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Mosaic's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Mosaic stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of The Mosaic. Since Mosaic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Mosaic Stock. However, Mosaic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  29.8 Real  30.42 Target  32.27 Hype  29.97
The intrinsic value of Mosaic's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Mosaic's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
30.42
Real Value
32.89
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Mosaic helps investors to forecast how Mosaic stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Mosaic more accurately as focusing exclusively on Mosaic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.130.510.73
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.5029.9732.44
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
29.3732.2735.82
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Mosaic's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Mosaic's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Mosaic's closest peers.

Mosaic Cash

298.03 Million

Mosaic Revenue by Product

Mosaic Total Value Analysis

The Mosaic is now estimated to have company total value of 14.53 B with market capitalization of 9.88 B, debt of 4.45 B, and cash on hands of 272.8 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Mosaic fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
14.53 B
9.88 B
4.45 B
272.8 M

Mosaic Investor Information

About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.77. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mosaic has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of March 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 1st of December 1995. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Mosaic's historical financial statements, The Mosaic is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.1 B1.5 B
Way Down
Very volatile

Mosaic Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Mosaic has an asset utilization ratio of 48.52 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.49 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that The Mosaic is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Mosaic Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Mosaic's financial statements, Mosaic's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Mosaic's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1987-09-30
Previous Quarter
410.7 M
Current Value
411.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
289.8 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.25 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 1.4 B in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.250.16
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For Mosaic profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Mosaic to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Mosaic utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Mosaic's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Mosaic over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Mosaic Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Mosaic is estimated to be 0.5091 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.13 to a high of 0.726. Mosaic's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 3.86. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for The Mosaic is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Mosaic is projected to generate 0.5091 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Mosaic earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Mosaic EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Mosaic's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Mosaic, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Mosaic Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Mosaic's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Mosaic is estimated to be 0.5091 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.13 to a high of 0.726. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for The Mosaic is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.13
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.5091
0.73
Highest

Mosaic Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Mosaic's value are higher than the current market price of the Mosaic stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Mosaic is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Mosaic's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2081.75%
0.0
0.5091
3.86

Mosaic Ownership Allocation

Mosaic maintains a total of 317.41 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Mosaic outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in The Mosaic to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Mosaic. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Mosaic as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on March 28, 2024, Senator Thomas R Carper of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Mosaic's common stock.

Mosaic Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.12 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 202 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.86 B.

Mosaic Past Distributions to stockholders

About Mosaic Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Mosaic's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Mosaic based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Mosaic. We calculate exposure to Mosaic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Mosaic's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.7 B1.4 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.16  0.25 
Mosaic's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Mosaic's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Mosaic can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Mosaic represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Mosaic, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Mosaic Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividends Paid is likely to gain to about 326.9 M in 2026. Dividend Yield is likely to gain to 0.04 in 2026. At this time, Mosaic's Retained Earnings are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 42.47 in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 9.5 B in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid311.3 M326.9 M
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.04 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.39  1.46 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.98  1.74 
There are various types of dividends Mosaic can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Mosaic shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from The Mosaic directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Mosaic pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Mosaic by the value of the dividends paid out.

Mosaic Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Mosaic does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding320.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.395
Forward Price Earnings13.3333

Mosaic Current Valuation Indicators

Mosaic's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Mosaic's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Mosaic, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Mosaic's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Mosaic's worth.

Additional Tools for Mosaic Stock Analysis

When running Mosaic's price analysis, check to measure Mosaic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mosaic is operating at the current time. Most of Mosaic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mosaic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mosaic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mosaic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.